Disruptive vs. Incremental Technologies
To understand the potential of Generative AI, it is essential to distinguish between disruptive and Incremental technologies.
Incremental technologies refer to gradual changes that improve existing products or services without fundamentally altering the market. In contrast, disruptive technologies bring about revolutionary changes, creating new markets and displacing established ones. Disruptive technologies will cause changes in society and our business environment.
An example of disruptive technology is the transition from scissor kicks to the Fosbury Flop in high jumping. In the first one, the performance increased gradually, while the adoption of the Second caused immediate, large performance increases.
Generative AI: Hype or Transformation?
Over the past decade, numerous technologies have promised great changes, but their impact often falls short of initial expectations. Blockchain, 5G, virtual reality, nanotechnology, 3D printing, quantum computing, smart cities, NFTs, the metaverse, the Internet of Things, and self-driving cars have all been touted as revolutionary
but have not yet fully delivered on their promises.
Generative AI is different. It possesses the potential to significantly alter various aspects of our lives, from business and creative endeavors to our understanding of society and the world. The question remains: is Generative AI merely another overhyped technology, or is it a true Game-changer?
The Story of Mosaic and The Web
There is another advantage to being old.
One of the advantages of being old is that you have a lot in your past. The worldwide web and the first browsers were seen as revolutionary. The questions remain how will the Generative AI revolution change society and our business environment, but it is safe to say that its impact will be massive.