
impacte/laya-medical-escalation
)
⚠️ NOT A MEDICAL DEVICE — NOT FOR CLINICAL USE
This is a research and educational artifact . It was trained to reproduce the acuity levels recorded in a historical, de-identified dataset. It must never be used to triage, diagnose, or make care decisions for real patients. Acuity assessment is subjective and population dependent; a model that under-triages can cause serious harm.
Laya Medical Escalation
is
convaiinnovations/laya
(421M, ModernBERT-large +
typed decision head) fine-tuned to assign the
Emergency Severity Index (ESI 1–5)
from an
emergency-department triage record. Laya is non-autoregressive: it scores each ESI level at its
own
[MASK]
marker and softmaxes over the levels in one forward pass (~23 ms), returning a
calibrated distribution rather than free text.
| Base |
convaiinnovations/laya
(Apache-2.0)
|
| Architecture | ModernBERT-large encoder + 2-layer decision head + option-marker scorer (421M) |
| Task |
choice
over ESI 1–5, from a text triage record
|
| Training | RLCD (GRPO + strictly proper scoring rule + soft cross-entropy) with inverse-frequency class weights |
| License | Apache-2.0 (inherited from Laya) |
| Latency | ~23 ms p50, single request, RTX 5060 Ti |
import laya
router = laya.load("impacte/laya-medical-escalation")
criteria = {
"esi-1": "ESI 1 Resuscitation: requires immediate life-saving intervention "
"(e.g. cardiac arrest, intubation, severe respiratory distress).",
"esi-2": "ESI 2 Emergent: high-risk, drowsy/confused, severe pain; should not wait.",
"esi-3": "ESI 3 Urgent: needs two or more resources (labs, imaging, IV fluids); vitals stable.",
"esi-4": "ESI 4 Less urgent: needs one resource (x-ray, prescription, simple procedure).",
"esi-5": "ESI 5 Non-urgent: needs no resources; can be referred or discharged.",
}
res = router.predict(
"Emergency department triage record. Patient: 58-year-old male. "
"Chief complaint: chest pain, shortness of breath. "
"Triage vitals: HR 118, BP 88/54, RR 28, SpO2 89% on room air, temperature 98.4 F. "
"Arrival: ambulance. History: 3 prior ED visits.",
{"route": {
"type": "choice",
"instructions": "You are an emergency department triage nurse. Based only on the triage "
"record, assign the correct Emergency Severity Index (ESI) level.",
"criteria": criteria,
}},
)
print(res["answers"]["route"]["choice"]) # -> esi-2
print(res["answers"]["route"]["probabilities"])
Held-out evaluation — 2500 rows, class-balanced (chance 0.20):
| Accuracy | Macro-F1 | Under-triage ↓ | Within ±1 level | Ordinal MAE | ECE ↓ | p50 latency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6860 | 0.6829 | 0.1564 | 0.9476 | 0.3852 | 0.0223 | 22.87 ms |
| ESI level | Precision | Recall | F1 | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| esi-1 | 0.769 | 0.860 | 0.812 | 500 |
| esi-2 | 0.666 | 0.570 | 0.614 | 500 |
| esi-3 | 0.618 | 0.566 | 0.591 | 500 |
| esi-4 | 0.621 | 0.674 | 0.646 | 500 |
| esi-5 | 0.742 | 0.760 | 0.751 | 500 |
Under-triage = predicted a less urgent ESI level than gold (the dangerous error); the high-acuity (gold ESI-1/2) under-triage rate is 0.189.
| System | Accuracy | Macro-F1 | Under-triage ↓ | p50 latency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laya Medical Escalation | 0.7033 | 0.6978 | 0.1600 | 22.8 ms |
| gemma4:e4b | 0.4333 | 0.4279 | 0.3933 | 173.5 ms |
| oamazonasgabriel/qwen3.8-27b:iq4-xs-64k-text-q4kv | 0.3233 | 0.3347 | 0.2925 | 943.9 ms |
| oamazonasgabriel/minicpm-2b:bf16 | 0.2967 | 0.2880 | 0.4735 | 2538.9 ms |
| random | 0.2200 | 0.2175 | 0.3733 | — |
| always esi-3 | 0.2000 | 0.0667 | 0.4000 | — |
| laya-base (zero-shot) | 0.2133 | 0.1336 | 0.2533 | 23.6 ms |
LLMs were given a 192-token budget and a parser that strips thinking/tool-call wrappers, so this is not a formatting strawman.
| Method | Features | Accuracy | Macro-F1 | Under-triage ↓ | High-acuity under-triage ↓ | Ordinal MAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laya Medical Escalation | text template | 0.6860 | 0.6829 | 0.1564 | 0.1890 | 0.3852 |
| xgboost (laya) | 214 | 0.6072 | 0.5969 | 0.1624 | 0.2730 | 0.5016 |
| xgboost (full) | 970 | 0.6136 | 0.6018 | 0.1524 | 0.2650 | 0.5116 |
| deterministic ESI v5 (full) | cc + vitals rules | 0.4176 | 0.3963 | 0.2724 | 0.5820 | 0.752 |
XGBoost uses the full 970-column table; the deterministic model is the partial ESI v5 clinical algorithm (resource count inferred — the dataset has no resource, pain, or mental-status fields, so this is a lower bound on it).
Trained on the Yale School of Medicine emergency-department triage dataset:
Hong WS, Haimovich AD, Taylor RA. Predicting hospital admission at emergency department triage using machine learning. PLOS ONE 13(7): e0201016 (2018). DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0201016
560,486 de-identified ED visits × 972 variables. The model consumes a
text state
built only
from at-triage fields — chief complaint (from 200 chief-complaint one-hots), triage vitals
(HR, BP, RR, SpO2, temperature), age, sex, arrival mode, prior ED visits, previous disposition and
outpatient medication count. HF mirror used:
kondratevakate/hospital-triage-and-patient-history-data
(lossless RData→Parquet re-host).
Citation is required for any use of this data; do not redistribute it.
esi
/
disposition
never enter the state text.
@misc{laya_medical_escalation2026,
title = {Laya Medical Escalation: a calibrated ESI decision model},
author = {oamazonasgabriel},
year = {2026},
url = {https://huggingface.co/impacte/laya-medical-escalation}
}
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