Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis including whale tracking and arbitrage detection.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-analysis
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-analysis using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Analysis?
The Polymarket Analysis skill is a technical toolkit designed to identify high-probability trading opportunities within decentralized prediction markets. By integrating with Openclaw Skills, this tool enables developers and analysts to perform deep-dive research into market inefficiencies without the risk of automated execution. It focuses on synthesizing data from multiple sources to provide a clear picture of market momentum and participant behavior.
This skill bridges the gap between raw blockchain data and actionable intelligence by processing the Polymarket order book and user position data. Whether you are looking for price discrepancies in binary outcomes or tracking the moves of influential traders, this skill provides the analytical framework necessary to navigate the complexities of prediction markets.
Polymarket Analysis Use Cases
- Detecting pair cost arbitrage opportunities where the combined price of YES and NO contracts is less than $1.00.
- Tracking high-net-worth whale wallets to follow smart money movements and large-scale position changes.
- Monitoring specific markets 24/7 for sudden volatility, RSI signals, or volume spikes.
- Profiling individual user wallets to analyze historical P&L and current open positions.
- Aggregating market sentiment and news to predict shift in contract pricing before they occur.
How Polymarket Analysis Works
- The user provides a market URL, slug, or wallet address to the Openclaw Skills agent.
- The skill queries the Polymarket Gamma API to retrieve core market metadata and current pricing.
- For technical analysis, it accesses the CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) to evaluate depth and liquidity.
- If analyzing a user, it calls the Data API to fetch historical trades, realized profit, and unrealized exposure.
- The system applies predefined strategies like momentum analysis or pair-cost calculation to identify edges.
- A comprehensive report is generated, or a persistent monitoring script is initialized for real-time alerts.
Polymarket Analysis Setup
To deploy this analysis tool within the Openclaw Skills environment, ensure Python 3 is available and follow these steps:
# Install required dependencies (if applicable)
pip install requests
# To analyze a specific market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>
# To fetch a user profile and P&L data
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> --trades --pnl
Polymarket Analysis Data Schema & Taxonomy
The skill organizes market and user data into structured formats for clear interpretation:
| Component | Data Sources | Key Metrics |
|---|---|---|
| Market Info | Gamma API | Slug, Category, End Date, Liquidity |
| Pricing | CLOB API | Bid/Ask Spread, Order Book Depth |
| User Profile | Data API | Total P&L, Active Positions, Trade History |
| Alert Logic | Logic Engine | Price Delta (>5%), Pair Cost (<$0.98), Large Trades (>$5k) |
All output data is formatted to highlight actionable trading edges and momentum shifts.
Polymarket Analysis Advanced Features
- Multi-API Integration: Seamlessly switches between Gamma, Data, and CLOB endpoints for full market visibility.
- Whale Tracking: Automated identification of trades exceeding $5,000 to monitor institutional or high-conviction moves.
- Arbitrage Detection: Real-time calculation of YES+NO contract sums to find sub-$1.00 risk-free or low-risk entries.
- Momentum Signaling: Built-in support for RSI and Moving Average indicators to spot trend reversals.
- 24/7 Monitoring: Support for cron-based automation for continuous market surveillance and instant alerting.
SKILL.md
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