An autonomous AI trading assistant that analyzes Polymarket data and real-world news to identify and execute profitable prediction market opportunities.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-trading-bot
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-trading-bot using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Agent?
The Polymarket Agent is a sophisticated tool designed for the Openclaw Skills ecosystem that transforms your AI agent into a professional Prediction Market Analyst. By combining real-time market data from the Polymarket API with extensive web research capabilities, this skill identifies discrepancies between market odds and real-world probability. Whether you are tracking political elections, economic shifts, or crypto price movements, this skill provides the analytical depth needed to gain a competitive edge in decentralized prediction markets.
This skill goes beyond simple data fetching by implementing advanced trading frameworks like news scalping, arbitrage detection, and sentiment analysis. It leverages the power of Openclaw Skills to provide proactive alerts, manage risk through strict bankroll management rules, and maintain a memory of your past trades to refine its strategy over time.
Polymarket Agent Use Cases
- Automated discovery of mispriced prediction markets across politics, crypto, and current events.
- News-driven trading that identifies market opportunities within seconds of major global headlines.
- Sentiment analysis by comparing social media trends on X and Reddit against current market prices.
- Portfolio management and tracking of active positions with automated risk assessments.
- Scheduled market monitoring and daily briefings to stay ahead of upcoming event resolutions.
How Polymarket Agent Works
- The agent fetches live market data, including prices, volume, and order books, using the specialized poly CLI tool.
- It performs deep web research using mandatory search queries to gather context from news outlets and expert opinions.
- An internal edge calculation formula is applied to compare the researched probability against the implied market probability.
- The agent presents a structured analysis report with clear BUY/SELL recommendations and risk assessments.
- Upon user approval or autonomous trigger, it executes trades directly via the Polymarket smart contracts using provided API credentials.
Polymarket Agent Setup
Prerequisites
Ensure you have Python and Pip installed. You will also need a valid POLYMARKET_KEY.
Installation
First, install the skill through your agent interface. Then, run the post-install script to enable the global poly command:
Linux/Mac:
cd ~/.clawdbot/skills/polymarket-agent
chmod +x install.sh
./install.sh
Windows:
cd %USERPROFILE%\.clawdbot\skills\polymarket-agent
install.bat
Configuration
Initialize your wallet and API credentials by running:
poly setup
Polymarket Agent Data Schema & Taxonomy
The Polymarket Agent organizes data through the poly CLI and integrates with the agent's internal memory. It tracks the following metadata:
| Data Type | Description | Storage Source |
|---|---|---|
| Market Odds | Real-time prices for Yes/No outcomes | Polymarket API |
| Research Logs | Summarized news and sentiment data | Web Search Tools |
| User Portfolio | Current positions, P&L, and USDC balance | On-chain/API |
| Risk Profile | Conservative, Balanced, or Degen settings | Agent Memory |
| Trade History | Record of past executions and outcomes | Local Database |
Polymarket Agent Advanced Features
- Arbitrage Detection: Identify price inconsistencies between correlated markets such as individual candidate vs. party outcomes.
- Cron Job Integration: Schedule the agent to wake up and check specific markets at predefined times or nearing resolution using Openclaw Skills architecture.
- Kelly Criterion Calculation: Automatically suggest optimal bet sizes based on calculated edge and available bankroll to maximize growth.
- Whale Watching: Research and follow high-conviction trades from large-scale market participants to spot smart money movements.
- Multi-Source Sentiment Analysis: Aggregates data from Reddit, Twitter, and niche financial forums to gauge public bias against actual odds.
SKILL.md
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