A sophisticated AI-driven bot designed to monitor, analyze, and execute trades on Polymarket 5-minute price prediction markets.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-trading-bot-skill
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-trading-bot-skill using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket AI Trading Bot?
The Polymarket AI Trading Bot is a high-performance tool built for the Openclaw Skills ecosystem, specifically targeting short-term BTC and ETH price prediction markets. It leverages a multi-layer extraction system to identify the Price to Beat (PTB) with high precision, using fallbacks ranging from direct APIs to Playwright-driven browser scraping. By integrating technical indicators such as RSI, momentum, and volume analysis, the bot provides developers with a robust framework for systematic trading.
This skill focuses on Expected Value (EV) driven decision-making, ensuring that actions are only recommended when the statistical advantage is clear. Its modular design allows users to separate market monitoring from execution, providing a safe environment to test strategies in dry-run mode before enabling live betting capabilities. As a part of the Openclaw Skills collection, it emphasizes transparency through detailed JSON logging and real-time confidence scoring.
Polymarket AI Trading Bot Use Cases
- Automated monitoring of 5-minute BTC and ETH prediction markets on Polymarket.
- Real-time calculation of Expected Value (EV) and confidence scores for market outcomes.
- High-accuracy Price to Beat (PTB) extraction using multi-layer fallback mechanisms.
- Strategy backtesting and performance auditing via structured decision logs.
How Polymarket AI Trading Bot Works
- The bot polls the Polymarket API every 2 seconds to identify newly created 5-minute price prediction markets.
- It immediately initiates a PTB pre-fetch sequence to secure the target price via Playwright or Binance APIs.
- Exactly 40 seconds before market closure, the AI analysis engine evaluates current price position, momentum, and RSI.
- The system calculates a weighted confidence score (0-100) based on market volatility and trend confirmation.
- If the confidence is at least 55% and the EV is positive, the bot generates a trade recommendation or executes a bet if enabled.
Polymarket AI Trading Bot Setup
Follow these steps to integrate this skill into your Openclaw Skills environment:
# Install the necessary Python dependencies
pip3 install playwright requests
# Install the Chromium browser engine for data extraction
playwright install chromium
# Run the main bot script in monitoring mode
python3 auto_bot_v2.py
To enable live trading, you must manually uncomment the execution line in auto_bot_v2.py.
Polymarket AI Trading Bot Data Schema & Taxonomy
The bot maintains a structured directory for logic and data storage to ensure compatibility with other Openclaw Skills.
| Component | Path | Function |
|---|---|---|
| Main Script | auto_bot_v2.py |
Orchestrates market polling and lifecycle management. |
| Decision Engine | ai_analyze_v2.py |
Processes market data to generate trade signals. |
| Scoring Model | ai_trader/ai_model_v2.py |
Contains the weighted logic for RSI, Momentum, and Volume. |
| Logs | logs/decisions_v2.jsonl |
Stores every analysis result, PTB, and confidence level in JSONL format. |
Polymarket AI Trading Bot Advanced Features
- Multi-layer fallback for PTB extraction ensuring data reliability even during API outages.
- ATR-normalized position analysis to adjust for current market volatility.
- Comprehensive risk management filtering based on target odds and confidence thresholds.
- Real-time monitoring mode that requires no private API keys for signal generation.
- Detailed decision history exported to JSONL for integration with external analytics tools within the Openclaw Skills framework.
SKILL.md
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