Polymarket Trading Decision Support for Openclaw

A sophisticated decision-support skill for scanning and analyzing Polymarket prediction markets with a focus on NBA and soccer data.

a1594834522-coder
v1.0.1
Mar 19, 2026
0
820
0

Install & Download

1. ClawHub CLI

The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.

npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-tradingskill

2. Manual Installation

Copy the skill folder to one of these locations

Global
~/.openclaw/skills/
Workspace
<project>/skills/

Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled

3. Prompt Installation

Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.

Help me install polymarket-tradingskill using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).

Prefer to download?

Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.

What is Polymarket Trading Decision Support?

The Polymarket Trading Skill is a high-performance decision-support tool designed for users of Openclaw Skills who require rapid analysis of prediction markets. It functions as a read-only analytical layer that surfaces promising markets, organizes them by priority, and explains pricing contexts. By leveraging specialized API endpoints, it allows users to identify edges in sports, politics, and macro markets without managing the complexities of trade execution.

This skill is optimized for speed-to-shortlist, providing structured insights that help users make informed decisions. It bridges the gap between raw market data and actionable intelligence by calculating fair price versus executable ask, ensuring that every recommendation is backed by a technical pricing view and risk assessment.

Polymarket Trading Decision Support Use Cases

  • Scanning NBA leagues and games for specific tradable opportunities within defined time windows.
  • Generating prioritized opportunity lists for soccer markets using the soccer5 local universe.
  • Performing deep-dive analysis on specific Polymarket events using URLs, market IDs, or event slugs.
  • Accessing rapid fair-price shortcuts for NBA markets to identify pricing discrepancies instantly.
  • Monitoring high-stakes politics and macro events for structural changes and orderbook shifts.

How Polymarket Trading Decision Support Works

  1. Intent Recognition: The skill analyzes the user prompt to determine if the goal is a broad scan, a fair price check, or a deep analysis of a specific market.
  2. API Integration: It connects to a local agent API backend using configured environment variables to pull real-time market data.
  3. Data Filtering: The skill filters the raw API responses to identify tradable candidates, separating market families such as moneyline, spread, and totals.
  4. Edge Calculation: It compares fair prices against the best executable asks (YES/NO) to calculate the potential edge and market spread.
  5. Priority Classification: Markets are ranked as high priority, watch, or low priority based on data freshness, edge strength, and liquidity.
  6. Structured Output: The skill returns a compact report including the pricing view, risk notes, and recommended next check times.

Polymarket Trading Decision Support Setup

To utilize this skill within Openclaw Skills, you must configure your local environment variables to point to your agent API backend:

# Set the base URL for the agent API
OPENCLAW_AGENT_API_BASE_URL=http://your-host:8080/api/v1/agent

# Set your secure bearer token
OPENCLAW_AGENT_API_KEY=your-own-bearer-token

Ensure these variables are loaded in your environment or secret store before initiating a scan or analysis request.

Polymarket Trading Decision Support Data Schema & Taxonomy

The skill organizes market data and metadata into structured classifications for clear decision-making:

Data Type Attributes Included
Market Metadata market_id, event_id, event slug, market_domain
Pricing Data fair_yes, fair_no, best_ask_yes, best_ask_no, spread
Status Indicators data_status (tradable, watch, unpriced), freshness_bucket
Priority Tiers high_priority_review, watch, low_priority
Change Tracking new, upgraded, downgraded, removed, unchanged

Polymarket Trading Decision Support Advanced Features

  • Auto-Deepen Logic: Automatically triggers deep orderbook analysis for borderline markets with high edge but low data freshness.
  • Cooldown & Dedup: Enforces specific cooldown periods (e.g., 5m for scans, 15m for reviews) to prevent redundant data output in Openclaw Skills.
  • Domain Routing: Intelligent routing that treats NBA requests with specialized fair-price logic while handling soccer and politics via universal analysis.
  • Relative Time Conversion: Automatically converts natural language timeframes like today or next 24h into explicit ISO timestamps for API precision.
  • Multi-Step Discovery: Transitions from broad event discovery to specific market analysis seamlessly when high-value opportunities are identified.

SKILL.md


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